BacktestMapBACKTESTING & ANALYTICS
HISTORICAL BACKTEST · NOT LIVE

Breakout Strategy

XAUUSD · H1 (primary) & H4 · 2021-09-01 — 2026-10-20

BACKTESTMAP / BACKTESTING & ANALYTICS
Backtest report
XAUUSD · 2021-09-01 — 2026-10-20

Monthly Performance

33.3120.718.12-4.48-17.082021-09-012024-03-172026-10-01
2021-09-01 — 2026-10-01 · %
View chart data
DateValue (%)
2021-09-01-1.85
2021-10-01-3.62
2021-11-016.56
2021-12-01-4.93
2022-01-010.86
2022-02-010.5
2022-03-0112.29
2022-04-01-1.36
2022-05-01-5.29
2022-06-01-7.1
2022-07-01-2.14
2022-08-01-5.2
2022-09-01-0.89
2022-10-01-5.04
2022-11-018.96
2022-12-01-2.52
2023-01-01-3.34
2023-02-01-10.16
2023-03-0127.85
2023-04-012.62
1 / 4

Cumulative Daily P/L

139.68 %

% of initial reference.
Without compounding.

Cumulative P/L trend

150.14106.076217.93-26.142021-09-012024-03-262026-10-20
2021-09-01 — 2026-10-20 · %
View chart data
DateValue (%)
2021-09-01-2.96
2021-09-02-5.96
2021-09-03-5.96
2021-09-06-4.56
2021-09-07-6.56
2021-09-08-6.56
2021-09-09-3.66
2021-09-10-3.92
2021-09-13-3.96
2021-09-14-5.52
2021-09-15-5.63
2021-09-16-5.63
2021-09-17-5.63
2021-09-20-0.73
2021-09-21-0.73
2021-09-220
2021-09-23-1.34
2021-09-24-1.34
2021-09-27-0.02
2021-09-28-2.02
1 / 67

Win Rate

27.37 %

399 wins · 1,059 losses

Positive / Negative Months

62Observed months

31 positive · 31 negative

Monthly Result Distribution

12Below −5
19−5 to 0
100 to 5
21Above 5

Months by P/L range (%)

Monthly Win Rate

53.334026.6713.3302021-09-012024-03-172026-10-01
2021-09-01 — 2026-10-01 · %
View chart data
DateValue (%)
2021-09-0120
2021-10-0128
2021-11-0127.27
2021-12-0129.17
2022-01-0125.93
2022-02-0133.33
2022-03-0142.11
2022-04-0132
2022-05-0125
2022-06-0125
2022-07-0116.67
2022-08-0125.93
2022-09-0125
2022-10-0120.83
2022-11-0130.43
2022-12-0136.36
2023-01-0128.57
2023-02-0120.83
2023-03-0153.33
2023-04-0128.57
1 / 4

Annual Performance

YearP/L (%)Trades
2021-3.84101
2022-6.93299
202320.27282
202471.99285
202523.1274
202635.09217

First and last years contain partial data.

Performance by Year

202471.99
202635.09
202523.1
202320.27
2021-3.84
2022-6.93

Daily Risk & Extremes

Worst day-3 %2021-09-02
Best day40.77 %2024-03-12
Highest reported daily DD3 %Reported daily value
Daily losing streak (reported)3 tradesReported daily value

Arithmetic Cumulative P/L

150.14106.076217.93-26.142021-09-012024-03-262026-10-20
2021-09-01 — 2026-10-20 · %
View chart data
DateValue (%)
2021-09-01-2.96
2021-09-02-5.96
2021-09-03-5.96
2021-09-06-4.56
2021-09-07-6.56
2021-09-08-6.56
2021-09-09-3.66
2021-09-10-3.92
2021-09-13-3.96
2021-09-14-5.52
2021-09-15-5.63
2021-09-16-5.63
2021-09-17-5.63
2021-09-20-0.73
2021-09-21-0.73
2021-09-220
2021-09-23-1.34
2021-09-24-1.34
2021-09-27-0.02
2021-09-28-2.02
1 / 67

Daily-close Drawdown

0-9.75-19.5-29.25-392021-09-012024-03-262026-10-20
2021-09-01 — 2026-10-20 · %
View chart data
DateValue (%)
2021-09-01-2.96
2021-09-02-5.96
2021-09-03-5.96
2021-09-06-4.56
2021-09-07-6.56
2021-09-08-6.56
2021-09-09-3.66
2021-09-10-3.92
2021-09-13-3.96
2021-09-14-5.52
2021-09-15-5.63
2021-09-16-5.63
2021-09-17-5.63
2021-09-20-0.73
2021-09-21-0.73
2021-09-220
2021-09-23-1.34
2021-09-24-1.34
2021-09-27-0.02
2021-09-28-2.02
1 / 67

Best / Worst Day

40.77 %2024-03-12
-3 %2021-09-02
TEST SPECIFICATION

Instrument and test settings

Instrument
XAUUSD
Trading timeframe
H1 (primary) & H4
Test period
2021-09-01 — 2026-10-20
Provider
Pepperstone
Timezone
GMT+7
Record type
Daily results
Data source
Breakout_Strategy.csv
Data basis
Daily percentage results
Return basis
Each trade risks 1% of the initial 100% reference. P/L is expressed as a percentage of the initial reference, without compounding.

Execution, sizing & costs

  • Each trade risks 1% of the initial 100% reference. P/L is expressed as a percentage of the initial reference, without compounding.
  • Pepperstone data on TradingView, using H1 as the primary timeframe and H4 as the second timeframe.
  • The recorded spread is 20 points.
  • Results use an initial percentage reference of 100%, not a currency balance.
STRATEGY RULES

Available strategy rules

Entry
Enter when a candle breaks the EMA.
Stop-loss
Place the stop below the previous candle's low.
Take-profit / exit
Exit when a candle breaks the EMA.
Timeframes & filters
H1 and H4 are used together, with H1 as the primary timeframe.
PERFORMANCE

Performance metrics

MetricValueDefinition / basis
Total trades1,458 tradesTotal trades across all daily rows.
Win rate27.37 %399 wins / 1,458 trades. Daily win rates are not averaged.
Cumulative daily P/L139.68 %Sum of daily P/L as a percentage of the initial 100% reference, without compounding.
Observed months62 monthsMonths with at least one recorded day.
Max daily-close drawdown39 %Largest decline from a previous daily-close peak, as a percentage of the initial reference. Open-position losses are excluded.
Maximum daily-close drawdown (% of peak)34.56 %Largest daily-close decline as a percentage of its previous peak: (peak - balance) / peak. Open-position losses are excluded.
Highest reported daily DD3 %Highest daily DD value in the source. It is not the drawdown for the full test.
Longest reported daily losing streak3 tradesLongest losing streak recorded within one day.
MONTHLY RESULTS

Monthly P/L (%)

P/L: % of the initial 100% reference, without compounding. Blank cells are unavailable, not zero. Partial years are not full-year comparisons.

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2021————————-1.85-3.626.56-4.93
20220.860.512.29-1.36-5.29-7.1-2.14-5.2-0.89-5.048.96-2.52
2023-3.34-10.1627.852.62-0.78-17.08-7.05-2-0.97-0.4613.2118.43
2024-2.49-9.1633.318.2710.4-6.0114.852.56.77-4.7317.790.49
20256.841.95.192.693.08-9.648.71-9.165.147.971.25-0.87
202615.933.0210.54-2.78-4.3610.62-0.878.25-5.18-0.08——

Each month is the sum of its rounded daily P/L values, without compounding. The first and last months are incomplete; October 2026 has 10 recorded days. Missing days are not estimated.

DRAWDOWN

Daily-close drawdown

Drawdown

0-9.75-19.5-29.25-392021-09-012024-03-262026-10-20
2021-09-01 — 2026-10-20 · %
View chart data
DateValue (%)
2021-09-01-2.96
2021-09-02-5.96
2021-09-03-5.96
2021-09-06-4.56
2021-09-07-6.56
2021-09-08-6.56
2021-09-09-3.66
2021-09-10-3.92
2021-09-13-3.96
2021-09-14-5.52
2021-09-15-5.63
2021-09-16-5.63
2021-09-17-5.63
2021-09-20-0.73
2021-09-21-0.73
2021-09-220
2021-09-23-1.34
2021-09-24-1.34
2021-09-27-0.02
2021-09-28-2.02
1 / 67

Basis: Decline from a previous daily-close peak, expressed as a percentage of the initial 100% reference. The calculation carries across months and excludes open-position losses.

  • Largest decline from a previous daily-close peak, as a percentage of the initial reference.
  • Largest daily-close decline as a percentage of its previous peak: (peak - balance) / peak. Open-position losses are excluded.
  • Highest daily DD value in the source. It is not the drawdown for the full test.
  • Longest losing streak recorded within one day.
DAILY RESULTS

Daily results

Each row is one day, not one trade. Overall win rate uses total wins and trades; drawdown uses the daily-close balance.

DateMonth balance (%)P/L (%)TradesWinsLossesMax CLMax DD (%)Open
2021-09-0197.04-2.9630332.960
2021-09-0294.04-3303330
2021-09-0394.040000000
2021-09-0695.441.4110000
2021-09-0793.44-2202220
2021-09-0893.440000000
2021-09-0996.372.931221.570
2021-09-1096.11-0.2610110.260
2021-09-1396.07-0.0410110.040
2021-09-1494.51-1.5620221.560
2021-09-1594.4-0.1110110.110
2021-09-1694.40000000
2021-09-1794.40000000
2021-09-2099.34.9110000
2021-09-2199.30000000
2021-09-22100.030.73110000
2021-09-2398.69-1.3420221.340
2021-09-2498.690000000
2021-09-271001.3241331.590
2021-09-2898-2202220
2021-09-2998.240.2321110.640
2021-09-3098.18-0.0610110.061
2021-10-011000000000
2021-10-04100.43-0.43211110
2021-10-0599.76-0.6720220.670
2021-10-0699.08-0.6820220.680
2021-10-0797-2.0830332.080
2021-10-0894-3303330
2021-10-1193-1101110
2021-10-1292-1101110
2021-10-13920000000
2021-10-14920000000
2021-10-1595.763.76110000
2021-10-1895.760000000
2021-10-1998.222.4621110.080
2021-10-2097.99-0.2310110.230
2021-10-2196.48-1.520221.50
2021-10-2295.78-0.7211110
2021-10-2595.780000000
2021-10-2696.210.43110000
2021-10-2796.990.79110000
2021-10-2896.990000000
2021-10-2997.230.23110000
2021-11-01101.561.56110000
2021-11-02101.48-0.0810110.080
2021-11-03101.480000000
2021-11-04102.891.42110000
2021-11-05102.890000000
2021-11-08102.890000000
2021-11-09102.890000000
2021-11-10107.434.54211110
2021-11-11107.430000000
2021-11-12107.04-0.421110.520
2021-11-15106.38-0.6520220.650
2021-11-16105.91-0.4710110.470
2021-11-17105.86-0.0510110.050
2021-11-18105.930.06110000
2021-11-19104.46-1.4720221.470
2021-11-22104.460000000
2021-11-23104.460000000
2021-11-24104.460000000
2021-11-25111.467.0121110.420
2021-11-26109.52-1.9420221.940
2021-11-29108.06-1.4720221.470
2021-11-30106.56-1.520221.50
2021-12-0197.96-2.0430332.040
2021-12-0297.960000000
2021-12-0397.04-0.9241331.240
2021-12-0696.04-1101110
2021-12-0793.04-3303330
2021-12-0893.040000000
2021-12-0991.73-1.3120221.310
2021-12-1091.39-0.3410110.340
2021-12-1391.390000000
2021-12-1491.40.02110000
2021-12-1592.661.25110000
2021-12-1692.660000000
2021-12-1794.351.7110000
2021-12-2092.98-1.3820221.380
2021-12-2192.56-0.4121110.630
2021-12-2292.32-0.2410110.240
2021-12-2392.320000000
2021-12-2792.320000000
2021-12-2894.462.15110000
2021-12-2994.460000000
2021-12-3095.050.59110000
2021-12-3195.050000000
2022-01-03101.921.92110000
2022-01-04103.041.12110000
2022-01-05103.290.25110000
2022-01-06103.290000000
2022-01-07104.281110000
2022-01-10102.14-2.1430332.140
2022-01-11102.140000000
2022-01-12102.140000000
2022-01-13100.67-1.4720221.470
2022-01-1499.02-1.6530331.650
2022-01-1798.66-0.3710110.370
2022-01-1896.01-2.6430332.640
2022-01-1995.01-1101110
2022-01-2095.010000000
2022-01-2195.570.5531221.540
2022-01-2493.81-1.7630331.760
2022-01-2591.81-2202220
2022-01-2691.940.13110000
2022-01-2791.940000000
2022-01-2891.940000000
2022-01-31100.878.92110001
2022-02-011000000000
2022-02-0299.08-0.92211110
2022-02-0398.63-0.4521110.640
2022-02-0497.63-1101110
2022-02-0796.85-0.7810110.780
2022-02-0896.850000000
2022-02-0996.850000000
2022-02-1097.670.82312220
2022-02-1196.6-1.0720221.070
2022-02-1496.60000000
2022-02-1598.912.32110000
2022-02-1697.53-1.3831221.650
2022-02-1797.530000000
2022-02-1897.530000000
2022-02-21101.554.0221110.340
2022-02-22101.44-0.1110110.110
2022-02-23101.09-0.3510110.350
2022-02-24102.821.73110000
2022-02-25102.820000000
2022-02-28100.49-2.3341332.610
2022-03-011000000000
2022-03-02101.231.23110000
2022-03-03100.96-0.2710110.270
2022-03-04100.960000000
2022-03-07100.960000000
2022-03-08100.960000000
2022-03-09105.884.92110000
2022-03-10106.320.43110000
2022-03-11105.97-0.3510110.350
2022-03-14105.970000000
2022-03-15105.970000000
2022-03-16113.547.57110000
2022-03-17113.540000000
2022-03-18112.35-1.1831221.530
2022-03-21112.22-0.1310110.130
2022-03-22111.51-0.7110110.710
2022-03-23111.41-0.110110.10
2022-03-24111.410000000
2022-03-25113.241.8421110.490
2022-03-28112.24-1101110
2022-03-29112.240000000
2022-03-30113.811.57110000
2022-03-31112.28-1.5331221.590
2022-04-01100.180.18110000
2022-04-04100.550.37110000
2022-04-0598.39-2.1730332.170
2022-04-0695.82-2.5730332.570
2022-04-0794.82-1101110
2022-04-0894.820000000
2022-04-1196.31.4821110.440
2022-04-1296.30000000
2022-04-1396.30000000
2022-04-1496.780.4831221.650
2022-04-1895.76-1.0220221.020
2022-04-1995.760000000
2022-04-2096.761110000
2022-04-2195.98-0.7920220.790
2022-04-2295.45-0.5210110.520
2022-04-2595.450000000
2022-04-2697.361.9131221.50
2022-04-2797.360000000
2022-04-2898.471.11110000
2022-04-2998.650.18110001
2022-05-021000000000
2022-05-03101.371.37110000
2022-05-0498.96-2.4130332.410
2022-05-0598.960000000
2022-05-0697.33-1.6330331.630
2022-05-0997.330000000
2022-05-1097.330000000
2022-05-1197.18-0.15312220
2022-05-1296.81-0.3610110.360
2022-05-1396.810000000
2022-05-1699.462.65110000
2022-05-1799.630.17110000
2022-05-1897.58-2.0530332.050
2022-05-1996.76-0.8210110.820
2022-05-2096.73-0.0431221.540
2022-05-2396.730000000
2022-05-2495.65-1.0731221.660
2022-05-2595.42-0.2310110.230
2022-05-2695.970.55110000
2022-05-2795.970000000
2022-05-3094.7-1.2730331.270
2022-05-3194.70000000
2022-06-01101.751.75110000
2022-06-02101.750000000
2022-06-03102.630.88110000
2022-06-06102.630000000
2022-06-07103.620.99110000
2022-06-08101.99-1.6330331.630
2022-06-09101.42-0.5710110.570
2022-06-10100.42-1101110
2022-06-13100.450.03110000
2022-06-14100.450000000
2022-06-15104.494.04110000
2022-06-16103.29-1.220221.20
2022-06-17103.750.47110000
2022-06-20102.93-0.8220220.820
2022-06-21100.49-2.4430332.440
2022-06-22100.490000000
2022-06-2398.65-1.8530331.850
2022-06-2497.65-1101110
2022-06-2795.62-2.0320222.030
2022-06-2895.620000000
2022-06-2994.9-0.72211110
2022-06-3092.9-2202220
2022-07-01100.280.28110000
2022-07-0499.53-0.7520220.750
2022-07-0598.88-0.6510110.650
2022-07-0698.880000000
2022-07-0798.880000000
2022-07-08108.39.42110000
2022-07-11107.65-0.6510110.650
2022-07-12105.65-2202220
2022-07-13104.65-1101110
2022-07-14103.93-0.7110110.710
2022-07-15103.930000000
2022-07-18104.720.7921110.360
2022-07-19102.95-1.7730331.770
2022-07-20100.33-2.6230332.620
2022-07-21100.330000000
2022-07-22100.330000000
2022-07-25101.160.83110000
2022-07-2699.95-1.2120221.210
2022-07-2797.85-2.130332.10
2022-07-2897.850000000
2022-07-2997.850000001
2022-08-011000000000
2022-08-02100.70.7110000
2022-08-0399.6-1.120221.110
2022-08-0498.84-0.7610110.760
2022-08-0598.950.11110000
2022-08-0898.47-0.4810110.480
2022-08-0998.470000000
2022-08-1096.95-1.5241332.440
2022-08-1195.97-0.9820220.980
2022-08-1293.51-2.4630332.460
2022-08-1593.510000000
2022-08-1693.510000000
2022-08-1792.59-0.91312220
2022-08-1892.14-0.4510110.450
2022-08-1992.140000000
2022-08-2292.140000000
2022-08-2393.411.27312220
2022-08-2493.410000000
2022-08-2593.470.0621110.420
2022-08-2692.53-0.9410110.940
2022-08-2995.032.51110000
2022-08-3094.79-0.2510110.251
2022-08-3194.790000000
2022-09-011000000000
2022-09-02103.543.54110000
2022-09-05103.540000000
2022-09-06104.530.98110000
2022-09-07103.53-131221.430
2022-09-08103.51-0.0210110.020
2022-09-09102.68-0.8320220.830
2022-09-12100.59-2.0930332.090
2022-09-1398.94-1.6520221.650
2022-09-1498.940000000
2022-09-1598.940000000
2022-09-16100.051.11110000
2022-09-1999.42-0.6220220.620
2022-09-2099.16-0.2710110.270
2022-09-2197.37-1.7930331.790
2022-09-2296.37-1101110
2022-09-2396.07-0.310110.30
2022-09-2696.070000000
2022-09-2798.32.23211110
2022-09-2897.86-0.4410110.440
2022-09-2997.910.0521110.40
2022-09-3099.121.21110000
2022-10-0397.74-2.2630332.260
2022-10-0497.740000000
2022-10-0597.23-0.5110110.510
2022-10-0697.04-0.1910110.190
2022-10-0797.040000000
2022-10-1097.040000000
2022-10-1199.252.2121110.70
2022-10-1298.25-1101110
2022-10-1396.04-2.2130332.210
2022-10-1496.040000000
2022-10-1796.370.3321110.430
2022-10-1894.58-1.7930331.790
2022-10-1994.580000000
2022-10-2096.251.6721110.650
2022-10-2196.2-0.0510110.050
2022-10-2496.20000000
2022-10-2596.15-0.05211110
2022-10-2696.150000000
2022-10-2796.220.07110000
2022-10-2894.95-1.2620221.260
2022-10-3194.950000000
2022-11-01105.095.09110000
2022-11-02104.48-0.61211110
2022-11-03104.480000000
2022-11-04104.490110000
2022-11-07104.490000000
2022-11-08107.543.05211110
2022-11-09107.540000000
2022-11-10107.540000000
2022-11-11107.540000000
2022-11-14112.274.7321110.570
2022-11-15112.270000000
2022-11-16114.842.57110000
2022-11-17114.840000000
2022-11-18114.840000000
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RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

Result summary and limitations

Result summary

  • The 1,322 daily records contain 1,458 trades: 399 wins and 1,059 losses.
  • Total daily P/L is +139.68% over 62 recorded months.
  • 31 months finished positive and 31 negative. None finished flat.
  • The records show daily totals, not individual trades.
  • The largest daily-close drawdowns were 39.00% and 34.56% of peak balance.

Limitations

  • The balance chart is calculated from rounded daily P/L. It is not a broker statement or an independently audited equity curve.